Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that Harris with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49.985% ...

And most recently on August 10 New York Times-Siena released a battery of Trump vs. Harris polls from the same three “blue wall” states, showing Harris leading by four points among likely ...

A CNN poll conducted from June 28 to 30 found Harris within striking distance of Trump in a hypothetical matchup, with 47 per cent of registered voters supporting Trump and 45 per cent backing Harris.

Polls taken soon after Joe Biden’s withdrawal in favor of Kamala Harris are now yielding to polls showing steady gains for Harris against Trump. That’s now a trend, not just a bounce, though ...