Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that Harris with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49.985% ...

Polls taken soon after Joe Biden’s withdrawal in favor of Kamala Harris are now yielding to polls showing steady gains for Harris against Trump. That’s now a trend, not just a bounce, though ...

A CNN poll conducted from June 28 to 30 found Harris within striking distance of Trump in a hypothetical matchup, with 47 per cent of registered voters supporting Trump and 45 per cent backing Harris.